TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe7c…cbc3backed Over67c14,777$9,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,932.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c8,657$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.82,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under26c8,161$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.522,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over66c5,209$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.933441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9910050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under35c2,677$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.832839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over67c2,300$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.0112642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c2,036$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.816,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under34c2,000$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under34c1,940$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.5333057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over66c1,901$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.321,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over67c1,732$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.154,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5407357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over66c1,160$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.521,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Under36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0920054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over65c846.14$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.156241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27240953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under32c776.33$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.279946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Over63c745.52$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.847147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23829427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under35c518.25$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8158445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under37c499.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.994240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb83a…6bfcbacked Under36c463.89$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under35c404.97$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7419357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Under36c272.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.136038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under33c249.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over66c248.97$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.654938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c183.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.011,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under34c180$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under34c179.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Over65c175$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.253354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under34c149$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Over66c145.3$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under34c119.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under27c109.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed1…6090backed Over63c92.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.06875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9118059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a11…4b2abacked Over66c83.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.24977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Under37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under35c78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.320150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88e…b784backed Over64c77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.768759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6313149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over66c73.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.153345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.826959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6724158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under25c60.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.157452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.423658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under34c59.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.431359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Over66c59.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Under35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x433a…e3d9backed Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.786566.2%43 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under34c41.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1136956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec94…931ebacked Under37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.17742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over65c40.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1155654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.839651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8828654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under33c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8812048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x080a…a2e8backed Under36c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Under36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf5…5e15backed Under37c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7513450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f21…dc40backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2b…d153backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.776261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.36354%34 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over66c25.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7615866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc287…8487backed Over66c23.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Over64c22.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.229050%45 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe900…7937backed Over66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.86564.6%42 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x980d…f267backed Over62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.