Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami Hurricanes vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc38f965fa12c0c2c04763c9e67cbea9c7986459016fa673c00e2f9268bddce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Hurricanesof Miami Hurricanes, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Miami Hurricanes | 66c | 5,023$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 4,180$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.85 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 21c | 2,026$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Hurricanes | 67c | 1,822$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.15 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami Hurricanes | 63c | 1,704$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.21 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes | 76c | 1,356$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 1,334$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.16 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Miami Hurricanes | 76c | 1,306$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.87 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 1,140$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.79 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Hurricanes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 891$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.03 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 763.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.79 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…55b7backed Miami Hurricanes | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 650$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 16c | 616.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Miami Hurricanes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Miami Hurricanes | 65c | 570.78$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 35c | 500$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 417.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Miami Hurricanes | 65c | 410.84$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 407$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 316.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Hurricanes | 65c | 313.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 303.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 67c | 298.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 22c | 285.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8c | 247.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami Hurricanes | 68c | 233.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 197.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 190.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 187.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 177.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 159$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 150.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 23c | 135$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 126.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Miami Hurricanes | 79c | 101.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 15c | 100.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 27c | 92.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 22c | 91.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 78.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 35c | 71.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 67.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Miami Hurricanes | 75c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 67c | 53.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 24c | 45.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Miami Hurricanes | 77c | 41.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d2…fa44backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 28.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…c75abacked Miami Hurricanes | 63c | 28.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Miami Hurricanes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 78cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Miami Hurricanes | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ec…6e72backed Miami Hurricanes | 75c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…5d0abacked Miami Hurricanes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.