Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd1a835c2f8af8fc0167470f8d6614ff16a0bee556119b815c88889156c5c1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 71c | 19,006$13,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 58c | 9,885$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 6c | 6,025$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.5 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.97 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 2,824$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.21 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,906$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.4 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 40c | 1,109$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 39c | 1,086$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.96 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 41c | 1,075$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.59 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 680.42$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked No | 54c | 672$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 40c | 602.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Yes | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 54c | 485.81$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.45 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 62c | 403$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 39c | 368$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 325.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 39c | 306.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 41c | 206$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 67c | 145.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 40c | 136.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 37c | 134.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 132.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 38c | 130.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 41c | 88.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 39c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Yes | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 39c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 39c | 42.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 54c | 31.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Yes | 41c | 27.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…e395backed No | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 61c | 19.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
- Will SK Rapid Wien vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.