CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: japczany vs MASONIC (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x740e650352f8f015ebdb3ce17b570cb81f201829a3b8877aeda6001580d0ef6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof japczany, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MASONIC | 58c | 10,013$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,207.79 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked japczany | 42c | 9,481$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.87 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MASONIC | 53c | 1,635$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed japczany | 4c | 1,198$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…12fcbacked japczany | 37c | 1,143$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed japczany | 34c | 1,095$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.32 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed japczany | 44c | 1,075$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked japczany | 6c | 1,008$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MASONIC | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked japczany | 5c | 724.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked japczany | 53c | 572$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed japczany | 21c | 556.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MASONIC | 60c | 462.41$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.01 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 63c | 411.42$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed japczany | 45c | 354.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked MASONIC | 56c | 319.22$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed japczany | 42c | 254.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7f8bbacked japczany | 9c | 225.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed japczany | 10c | 224.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked japczany | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked japczany | 41c | 162$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed MASONIC | 56c | 149.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked MASONIC | 51c | 149.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked japczany | 35c | 149.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed MASONIC | 53c | 141$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked japczany | 15c | 123.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked MASONIC | 58c | 121.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed japczany | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…7030backed japczany | 10c | 110.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked MASONIC | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed japczany | 43c | 94.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed japczany | 53c | 94.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked japczany | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed MASONIC | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed japczany | 31c | 85.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…b40dbacked japczany | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked japczany | 20c | 74.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed japczany | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked japczany | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed japczany | 36c | 57.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…3528backed japczany | 52c | 57.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed japczany | 49c | 56.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked japczany | 42c | 52.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed japczany | 42c | 48.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked MASONIC | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed MASONIC | 67c | 39.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed japczany | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed japczany | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked MASONIC | 80c | 37.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked japczany | 42c | 35.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed japczany | 45c | 35.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed japczany | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…90afbacked MASONIC | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 51c | 31.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed japczany | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked japczany | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed MASONIC | 57c | 25.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked japczany | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked japczany | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed MASONIC | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed MASONIC | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…4756backed MASONIC | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed MASONIC | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: japczany vs MASONIC (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: japczany vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: japczany vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.