Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x636c45085b85ec352a057194fd7103f9b32c02dcfeb9a6d974484a00499dca3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 44c | 13,757$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 5,725$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.32 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 3,352$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.97 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 3,085$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.7 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 56c | 2,216$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 1,738$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.83 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 7c | 1,685$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 7c | 1,462$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.22 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 877$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 877$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 790.17$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.77 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 8c | 787.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 41c | 636.27$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 33c | 462.2$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.94 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…58b9backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…d01cbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 21c | 216$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 130.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 105.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Yes | 27c | 95.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed No | 57c | 87.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 41c | 84.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 57c | 84.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 62c | 72.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 69.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 35c | 61.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 60c | 52.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 41c | 46.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885e…08b8backed Yes | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 36c | 42.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 40.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 42c | 32.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 40c | 28.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…ad04backed No | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?No won
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.