Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df052a6753b3e7fb1c926d560c96983cf3443522aaf308b75f7f6752b5b4031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 3,510$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.2 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 3,320$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.33 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 35c | 3,229$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.97 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 60c | 976.87$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.98 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 930.33$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 33c | 881.82$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 31c | 833.02$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.78 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 33c | 745.51$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.49 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 30c | 690$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 29c | 650$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.5 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 597.29$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 44c | 459$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 20c | 334.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 70c | 333.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 29c | 325$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 29c | 325$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Yes | 77c | 256.31$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 31c | 251.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 61c | 248.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 19c | 209$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 64c | 205$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 22c | 178$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 127.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 27c | 119.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 118.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 71c | 112.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Yes | 70c | 88.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 73c | 84.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…adcebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 72c | 22.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 78c | 20.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 78c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?No won
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.