Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon Ducks vs. Auburn Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x697c55d548a7a8da2fb18c29b08c85bbdf14ed0a3e16cf761ec13cbd5290f0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auburn Tigersof Oregon Ducks, Auburn Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Auburn Tigers | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +452.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers | 59c | 4,280$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Oregon Ducks | 38c | 3,691$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.76 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 3,462$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oregon Ducks | 36c | 2,767$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.72 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Auburn Tigers | 64c | 2,634$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.36 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Auburn Tigers | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Auburn Tigers | 64c | 1,707$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.54 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 1,585$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Oregon Ducks | 35c | 1,525$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon Ducks | 35c | 1,249$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.51 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 1,245$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.55 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 996$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.19 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Auburn Tigers | 65c | 858.78$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.57 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Auburn Tigers | 59c | 700$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers | 62c | 676.02$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Oregon Ducks | 37c | 555$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Auburn Tigers | 73c | 472.45$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Auburn Tigers | 61c | 419.16$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…3a30backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 394.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers | 63c | 339.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Oregon Ducks | 38c | 321$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 310.4$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 306.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oregon Ducks | 36c | 300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Oregon Ducks | 38c | 264.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oregon Ducks | 39c | 258$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Oregon Ducks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Oregon Ducks | 39c | 249.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…f882backed Oregon Ducks | 40c | 233$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Auburn Tigers | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oregon Ducks | 39c | 203.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Oregon Ducks | 34c | 195.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Oregon Ducks | 36c | 161.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Auburn Tigers | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 147.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon Ducks | 37c | 146.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…3233backed Auburn Tigers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Auburn Tigers | 63c | 140$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Oregon Ducks | 38c | 124.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Auburn Tigers | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Oregon Ducks | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Oregon Ducks | 36c | 77.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…c874backed Oregon Ducks | 40c | 70.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Oregon Ducks | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…aa87backed Auburn Tigers | 63c | 43.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac9…e355backed Auburn Tigers | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Auburn Tigers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…5084backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 29.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…092bbacked Auburn Tigers | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…9c5fbacked Auburn Tigers | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…4e3dbacked Auburn Tigers | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…c613backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…866fbacked Auburn Tigers | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Oregon Ducks | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6aa…e739backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcef…8810backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…f412backed Auburn Tigers | 61c | 23.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…77dcbacked Auburn Tigers | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…72cfbacked Auburn Tigers | 62c | 22.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…c9f0backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Auburn Tigers | 63c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Auburn Tigers | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…a4dfbacked Auburn Tigers | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…f6cbbacked Auburn Tigers | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…f621backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.