Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Essex vs Middlesex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f631d2f33974bafc2f728db0b1c40acd567d0bc322cd74597f19a8ce5f387d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middlesexof Essex, Middlesex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Middlesex | 66c | 10,003$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.04 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Essex | 32c | 7,516$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.89 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Essex | 33c | 3,576$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.01 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Essex | 67c | 3,001$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Middlesex | 68c | 932.04$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Essex | 64c | 838.36$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.38 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Middlesex | 70c | 812.3$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.61 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Middlesex | 36c | 766.67$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Essex | 35c | 661.84$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.22 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Essex | 9c | 643.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Essex | 40c | 613.05$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.92 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Essex | 34c | 528.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Middlesex | 39c | 509.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Essex | 64c | 455.18$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Middlesex | 75c | 375.77$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Middlesex | 70c | 364$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Middlesex | 65c | 350.22$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Essex | 28c | 342.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Essex | 32c | 330.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Middlesex | 66c | 327$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Middlesex | 73c | 324$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Middlesex | 66c | 298.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Essex | 16c | 265$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Essex | 33c | 230.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Middlesex | 70c | 223.15$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Middlesex | 34c | 205.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Essex | 74c | 203$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…eeaabacked Essex | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Middlesex | 66c | 194.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Essex | 66c | 190.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 219 | 36.5%80 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Middlesex | 64c | 184.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…48dcbacked Middlesex | 62c | 174.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +230.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Middlesex | 70c | 138.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Essex | 33c | 135.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Middlesex | 13c | 133.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Essex | 9c | 132.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Middlesex | 65c | 128.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Middlesex | 74c | 115.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Essex | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Middlesex | 51c | 104$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…23e0backed Middlesex | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Middlesex | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Middlesex | 72c | 98.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Middlesex | 65c | 95.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +17.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Essex | 64c | 95.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Middlesex | 35c | 94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Middlesex | 38c | 89.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Middlesex | 77c | 84.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Essex | 65c | 82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Middlesex | 38c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Essex | 62c | 79.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Middlesex | 38c | 78.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Middlesex | 38c | 66.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Essex | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Middlesex | 72c | 63.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Middlesex | 40c | 62.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Middlesex | 31c | 60.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Middlesex | 27c | 59.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Middlesex | 38c | 59.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Essex | 35c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Middlesex | 70c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Middlesex | 72c | 52.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Middlesex | 37c | 41.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Essex | 63c | 40.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Middlesex | 37c | 39.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Essex | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Essex | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Essex | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Middlesex | 76c | 29.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed Middlesex | 68c | 27.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Middlesex | 62c | 25.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Middlesex | 67c | 22.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Middlesex | 69c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Middlesex | 71c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Essex | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.