La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0184ab63464bd8722915292db2efb0df17553fd4b570ca51cb50f7f72c85105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 67c | 2,264$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 30c | 646.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.85 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 531.5$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.8 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 439.94$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.2 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 29c | 417.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.55 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 30c | 344.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.49 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 228.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…f917backed Yes | 69c | 216.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 207.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.27 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 160.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 29c | 111.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…acd0backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes | 69c | 86.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 26c | 77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 77c | 75.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 65c | 61.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 56c | 48.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 28c | 38.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Yes | 68c | 38.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 67c | 36.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…468abacked Yes | 51c | 30.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…eff7backed Yes | 58c | 27.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-04?this page
- Will UE Sant Andreu vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will UE Sant Andreu win on 2025-12-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.