Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: WIP Esports vs Caldya Esport (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd112e1610e806b2663e17110b02c1efcb42a5ff58b8b1fa996a8c15abbbdac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caldya Esportof WIP Esports, Caldya Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Caldya Esport | 38c | 1,519$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.06 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed WIP Esports | 62c | 1,223$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed WIP Esports | 62c | 1,142$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Caldya Esport | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed WIP Esports | 55c | 509.64$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.3 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Caldya Esport | 45c | 508$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.88 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…c538backed WIP Esports | 6c | 439$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed WIP Esports | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked WIP Esports | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Caldya Esport | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Caldya Esport | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked WIP Esports | 62c | 24.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9143…1f39backed WIP Esports | 61c | 16.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.