Tennis · resolved market
Bastad: Sinja Kraus vs Claire Liu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1762752aa32d47f535ee77518eb9850a4afb9c5f081488dcdcc89cfc28b98955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinja Krausof Sinja Kraus, Claire Liu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Sinja Kraus | 48c | 120,880$58,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,796.71 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Claire Liu | 49c | 86,700$42,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,792.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Claire Liu | 49c | 38,446$18,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,808.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…fb2fbacked Claire Liu | 28c | 7,100$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sinja Kraus | 60c | 5,534$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.18 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Sinja Kraus | 55c | 2,992$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.5 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Claire Liu | 47c | 2,886$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.18 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sinja Kraus | 55c | 2,825$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.39 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sinja Kraus | 52c | 2,679$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.26 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…18b8backed Claire Liu | 49c | 2,026$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sinja Kraus | 47c | 1,787$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.31 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sinja Kraus | 58c | 1,695$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.26 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Claire Liu | 55c | 1,685$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.66 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Claire Liu | 46c | 1,676$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Claire Liu | 45c | 1,654$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Claire Liu | 49c | 1,140$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.99 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sinja Kraus | 37c | 1,001$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.62 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sinja Kraus | 58c | 1,000$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.33 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Claire Liu | 64c | 777.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Claire Liu | 45c | 724.52$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.38 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Claire Liu | 55c | 707.89$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.01 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Sinja Kraus | 36c | 695.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.87 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Claire Liu | 51c | 693$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.43 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Sinja Kraus | 45c | 658.52$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.89 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Claire Liu | 20c | 624.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Sinja Kraus | 48c | 601$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Claire Liu | 59c | 590.96$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.84 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Claire Liu | 43c | 582.53$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.98 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Claire Liu | 57c | 581.87$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…1534backed Sinja Kraus | 36c | 563.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Sinja Kraus | 51c | 492.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sinja Kraus | 57c | 492$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Claire Liu | 46c | 464.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Claire Liu | 44c | 454.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sinja Kraus | 54c | 439.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Sinja Kraus | 51c | 418.84$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sinja Kraus | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sinja Kraus | 56c | 347$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Sinja Kraus | 52c | 331.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Claire Liu | 46c | 324.07$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Claire Liu | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sinja Kraus | 68c | 283.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sinja Kraus | 55c | 273.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Sinja Kraus | 54c | 272.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Sinja Kraus | 59c | 252.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Claire Liu | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Claire Liu | 50c | 219.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Sinja Kraus | 56c | 214.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Claire Liu | 48c | 212.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinja Kraus | 45c | 212.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Claire Liu | 44c | 202.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…0732backed Sinja Kraus | 40c | 199.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Sinja Kraus | 45c | 196.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sinja Kraus | 42c | 192.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Sinja Kraus | 50c | 187.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sinja Kraus | 58c | 177.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Claire Liu | 47c | 173.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Sinja Kraus | 56c | 158.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Sinja Kraus | 55c | 149.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Claire Liu | 50c | 145.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sinja Kraus | 37c | 145.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Claire Liu | 55c | 141.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Claire Liu | 49c | 138.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 356 | 49.4%176 W · 180 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Sinja Kraus | 50c | 128.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Sinja Kraus | 45c | 127.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Claire Liu | 46c | 124.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Claire Liu | 59c | 119.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Sinja Kraus | 50c | 117.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Sinja Kraus | 40c | 113.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sinja Kraus | 46c | 107.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinja Kraus | 55c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Claire Liu | 33c | 100.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Sinja Kraus | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Claire Liu | 54c | 95.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Sinja Kraus | 44c | 90.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Sinja Kraus | 33c | 90.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Claire Liu | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sinja Kraus | 59c | 78.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sinja Kraus | 32c | 75.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Claire Liu | 68c | 73.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Sinja Kraus | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…cea2backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 72.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Claire Liu | 44c | 68.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Claire Liu | 67c | 66.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Sinja Kraus | 45c | 65.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sinja Kraus | 37c | 64.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sinja Kraus | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Claire Liu | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Claire Liu | 55c | 63.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sinja Kraus | 45c | 63.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Claire Liu | 19c | 62.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Claire Liu | 46c | 62.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Claire Liu | 52c | 60.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Sinja Kraus | 55c | 60.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Claire Liu | 57c | 59.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Claire Liu | 67c | 57.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Claire Liu | 53c | 56.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Claire Liu | 47c | 53.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Claire Liu | 51c | 51.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Claire Liu | 53c | 50.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bastad: Sinja Kraus vs Claire Liuthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kraus vs LiuKraus won
- Set Handicap: Kraus (-1.5) vs Liu (+1.5)Kraus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.