TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$506,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06c0…e618backed PARIVISION64c24,767$15,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,916.645761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed OG42c23,928$9,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9601421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed OG47c17,716$8,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,398.9413155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION54c17,224$9,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,991.5712256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked PARIVISION60c14,795$8,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,952.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed PARIVISION36c12,457$4,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,913.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed OG36c11,275$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,114.014445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG22c11,161$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.862,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed PARIVISION66c10,254$6,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,505.9725444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed OG36c10,106$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600.8427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked OG8c9,085$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1817444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked OG46c8,773$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,016.6430138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x928e…d701backed PARIVISION62c8,403$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,167.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION65c7,950$5,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.2213262.9%83 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed OG34c7,728$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.351,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked OG53c6,538$3,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47841055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf85…1681backed OG12c6,498$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.01110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked OG36c6,320$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.191233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked PARIVISION63c6,259$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.8219943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked OG48c6,190$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00053451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION60c6,100$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,44086659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION59c5,910$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.7416050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c05…578fbacked PARIVISION59c5,888$3,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick64cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed OG40c5,678$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.5214947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed OG61c5,375$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9955751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8664…9981backed OG36c5,007$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.451747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked OG33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65021350.7%108 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked OG42c5,000$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.0334146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed PARIVISION53c4,963$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.3719047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked OG58c4,872$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.2885851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked OG38c4,593$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.3911557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION58c4,540$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.3620159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked OG36c4,500$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62018649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION67c4,497$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.2529160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION36c4,081$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.8214840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed PARIVISION64c3,472$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.7628341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked PARIVISION58c3,254$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.310048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PARIVISION68c3,145$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.8214121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed OG44c3,117$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.845044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…e150backed PARIVISION63c3,100$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked OG35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05011839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked OG34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02039936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG36c2,998$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.1589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed OG33c2,787$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.5618452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked OG42c2,685$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.2521847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked OG40c2,667$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.2510941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked PARIVISION58c2,607$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.0110451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d8…816fbacked OG37c2,025$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01c…4112backed OG37c2,010$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked OG40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x85b9…d1abbacked OG60c1,925$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.26887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed OG67c1,891$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed OG39c1,879$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.9915946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed PARIVISION48c1,800$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92712351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed OG40c1,715$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6866647%31 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5db…2b48backed OG37c1,580$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed PARIVISION64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.513850%69 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f42…422dbacked OG37c1,540$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed PARIVISION61c1,532$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.541241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed OG45c1,483$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.862867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf858…37d0backed PARIVISION35c1,419$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.731540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked OG36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50414538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed PARIVISION50c1,350$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.243951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked PARIVISION38c1,330$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OG40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed OG37c1,292$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.938845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9be…8b35backed OG58c1,252$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.18349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed PARIVISION48c1,240$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6438648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed OG7c1,233$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021751.6%112 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed OG64c1,214$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.982356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4577…092bbacked PARIVISION61c1,205$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed OG36c1,200$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43546535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked OG40c1,140$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4568239%32 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed PARIVISION59c1,133$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.163666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked OG39c1,112$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.4873841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a6…b24dbacked OG37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbad…6a79backed PARIVISION63c1,100$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed OG45c1,100$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9956848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked OG35c1,092$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.24654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed OG45c1,074$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.959544.2%42 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb7…21dcbacked PARIVISION63c1,070$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c3e…ae8fbacked OG37c1,070$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd479…8b05backed PARIVISION63c1,050$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa68…3e04backed OG37c1,050$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1d…b2e9backed OG37c1,030$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd627…81cdbacked OG37c1,030$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa050…50f8backed PARIVISION63c1,030$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c8…87bfbacked PARIVISION63c1,030$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd5…826ebacked OG37c1,020$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x744a…1e47backed PARIVISION63c1,020$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb80…09fcbacked OG37c1,010$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be0…aedbbacked PARIVISION63c1,010$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed OG37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed OG16c1,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5459250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed OG37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked OG37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37012868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986d…5135backed PARIVISION63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed OG50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked PARIVISION60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23d…f322backed PARIVISION50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.