Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a377af26d6a7eff5916a5c8e9cf1fa1cbd8c37cb6246a5d8d6aa3fbddd5dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed PARIVISION | 64c | 24,767$15,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,916.64 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed OG | 42c | 23,928$9,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,960 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed OG | 47c | 17,716$8,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,398.94 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION | 54c | 17,224$9,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,991.57 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 14,795$8,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed PARIVISION | 36c | 12,457$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,913.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed OG | 36c | 11,275$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,114.01 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 22c | 11,161$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.86 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed PARIVISION | 66c | 10,254$6,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.97 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed OG | 36c | 10,106$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.84 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked OG | 8c | 9,085$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.18 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked OG | 46c | 8,773$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.64 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…d701backed PARIVISION | 62c | 8,403$5,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 7,950$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.22 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 34c | 7,728$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.35 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked OG | 53c | 6,538$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed OG | 12c | 6,498$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.01 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked OG | 36c | 6,320$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 6,259$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.82 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 48c | 6,190$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 6,100$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION | 59c | 5,910$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.74 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…578fbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 5,888$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed OG | 40c | 5,678$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.52 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed OG | 61c | 5,375$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…9981backed OG | 36c | 5,007$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked OG | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 42c | 5,000$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.03 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed PARIVISION | 53c | 4,963$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.37 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 58c | 4,872$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.28 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked OG | 38c | 4,593$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.39 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 4,540$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.36 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked OG | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 67c | 4,497$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.25 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION | 36c | 4,081$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.82 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed PARIVISION | 64c | 3,472$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.76 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 3,254$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.3 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 3,145$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.82 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed OG | 44c | 3,117$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.84 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed PARIVISION | 63c | 3,100$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked OG | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 36c | 2,998$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.15 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed OG | 33c | 2,787$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.56 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked OG | 42c | 2,685$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.25 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked OG | 40c | 2,667$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.25 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked PARIVISION | 58c | 2,607$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.01 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…816fbacked OG | 37c | 2,025$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01c…4112backed OG | 37c | 2,010$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked OG | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked OG | 60c | 1,925$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed OG | 67c | 1,891$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed OG | 39c | 1,879$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.99 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,800$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed OG | 40c | 1,715$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…2b48backed OG | 37c | 1,580$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f42…422dbacked OG | 37c | 1,540$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,532$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed OG | 45c | 1,483$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.86 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed PARIVISION | 35c | 1,419$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked OG | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.24 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 1,330$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed OG | 37c | 1,292$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.93 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed OG | 58c | 1,252$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.1 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,240$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed OG | 7c | 1,233$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed OG | 64c | 1,214$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4577…092bbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,205$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed OG | 36c | 1,200$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked OG | 40c | 1,140$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,133$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.16 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OG | 39c | 1,112$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.48 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b24dbacked OG | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…6a79backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 45c | 1,100$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked OG | 35c | 1,092$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed OG | 45c | 1,074$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.95 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…21dcbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,070$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…ae8fbacked OG | 37c | 1,070$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…8b05backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,050$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…3e04backed OG | 37c | 1,050$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…b2e9backed OG | 37c | 1,030$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd627…81cdbacked OG | 37c | 1,030$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa050…50f8backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,030$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…87bfbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,030$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…826ebacked OG | 37c | 1,020$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…1e47backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,020$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb80…09fcbacked OG | 37c | 1,010$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…aedbbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,010$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed OG | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 16c | 1,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed OG | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked OG | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…5135backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.