Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c767da7844149f878b71665a3836a91090e03c33df2b9e06634145b654a758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION | 54c | 12,597$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,812.87 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 47c | 7,943$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 12c | 6,182$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.64 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed OG | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked OG | 44c | 5,930$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.2 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked OG | 55c | 5,488$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 5,006$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.96 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked OG | 54c | 3,710$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.19 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…578fbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked PARIVISION | 61c | 3,260$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.82 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 57c | 3,229$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.54 | 559 | 51.9%290 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed OG | 47c | 3,177$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 47c | 3,042$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.9 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed OG | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed PARIVISION | 46c | 2,817$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.14 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 2,504$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 2,308$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.87 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 42c | 2,215$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.29 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 10c | 2,168$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed OG | 48c | 2,087$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…c99ebacked OG | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 44c | 1,812$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.17 | 569 | 48.7%277 W · 292 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed OG | 8c | 1,522$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed OG | 46c | 1,407$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.71 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,354$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.75 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed OG | 44c | 1,251$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.22 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked OG | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked PARIVISION | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 957.46$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked OG | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed PARIVISION | 58c | 854.68$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.97 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed PARIVISION | 58c | 838.45$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed PARIVISION | 58c | 820.13$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.45 | 286 | 41.3%118 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 7c | 754.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked OG | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed PARIVISION | 72c | 699.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed PARIVISION | 53c | 657.91$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.22 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 611.77$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 54c | 603.07$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.11 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked OG | 23c | 599.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed OG | 41c | 570.73$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed PARIVISION | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed OG | 43c | 439.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed PARIVISION | 61c | 406.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked OG | 44c | 403.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed PARIVISION | 51c | 399.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.99 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed OG | 28c | 383.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed OG | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PARIVISION | 59c | 320.51$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…e381backed OG | 42c | 310.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed PARIVISION | 60c | 308.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed OG | 4c | 303.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed OG | 37c | 302.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed PARIVISION | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…dc00backed OG | 48c | 277.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked OG | 44c | 274.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed OG | 35c | 269.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb774…f9cfbacked OG | 43c | 267.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed PARIVISION | 58c | 264.41$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked OG | 44c | 253.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed OG | 39c | 251.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed OG | 33c | 249.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 56c | 243.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 359 | 57.7%207 W · 152 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed OG | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed OG | 40c | 219.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…5b72backed OG | 5c | 217.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked OG | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed PARIVISION | 56c | 206.39$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed OG | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed OG | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed OG | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed OG | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed OG | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed PARIVISION | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed OG | 43c | 195.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f744backed OG | 38c | 184.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed PARIVISION | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed PARIVISION | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked OG | 9c | 160.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 329 | 6.4%21 W · 308 L | -102.9wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked OG | 37c | 148.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked OG | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 135.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked OG | 30c | 129.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 60c | 121.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked OG | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed OG | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 119.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed OG | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7345backed OG | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…4dacbacked OG | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked OG | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed OG | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed OG | 39c | 84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.