Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a96b5bcea9ebbd1efbaef6a32a60dca64acafb22e126fe9d3311c37faa86bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof PARIVISION, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed OG | 79c | 7,815$6,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.25 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 51c | 6,770$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.35 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 6,414$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.03 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 6,144$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.43 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed OG | 77c | 5,925$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.94 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 31c | 4,757$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.44 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked OG | 60c | 4,619$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.15 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 4,072$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.51 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked OG | 51c | 3,891$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.9 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed PARIVISION | 32c | 3,557$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.47 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed PARIVISION | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked PARIVISION | 61c | 2,639$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.09 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 32c | 2,316$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.99 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 2,158$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.83 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked PARIVISION | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed OG | 45c | 1,902$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.72 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed OG | 61c | 1,635$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.43 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked OG | 77c | 1,631$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.64 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked OG | 62c | 1,622$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.68 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed OG | 74c | 1,614$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.43 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 30c | 1,347$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed PARIVISION | 21c | 1,284$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed OG | 41c | 1,234$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.34 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION | 58c | 1,233$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.46 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 70c | 1,100$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked OG | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed OG | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked PARIVISION | 8c | 900$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…c415backed PARIVISION | 29c | 863.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 850.11$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.77 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked OG | 71c | 733.72$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.49 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION | 48c | 722.74$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.88 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed PARIVISION | 59c | 685.46$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.42 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed OG | 45c | 648.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.89 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed OG | 78c | 614.02$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked PARIVISION | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 599.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 49c | 563.7$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.03 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked OG | 75c | 533.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed OG | 72c | 529.05$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed PARIVISION | 57c | 527.14$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed PARIVISION | 59c | 495$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed OG | 61c | 465.16$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed PARIVISION | 31c | 463.9$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91b…5a12backed PARIVISION | 17c | 459.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed PARIVISION | 39c | 439.05$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed PARIVISION | 61c | 411.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f6d9backed PARIVISION | 60c | 349$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed PARIVISION | 34c | 330.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked OG | 40c | 324.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed PARIVISION | 5c | 311.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed PARIVISION | 10c | 299.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed OG | 41c | 296$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed OG | 47c | 295.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked PARIVISION | 33c | 270.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked OG | 59c | 267.68$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed OG | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…e381backed OG | 45c | 241.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed OG | 41c | 239.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed OG | 42c | 222$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked PARIVISION | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…fcd6backed PARIVISION | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed PARIVISION | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed PARIVISION | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…add9backed PARIVISION | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed OG | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…9c30backed PARIVISION | 27c | 187.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 20c | 175.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed OG | 79c | 167.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed PARIVISION | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed PARIVISION | 19c | 149.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f744backed PARIVISION | 24c | 140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed OG | 41c | 132$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…9148backed PARIVISION | 19c | 131.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed OG | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…ccefbacked OG | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x910b…ff42backed OG | 71c | 117.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed OG | 70c | 116.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb774…f9cfbacked OG | 50c | 114.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed OG | 70c | 100.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed OG | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed OG | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed OG | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed OG | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed PARIVISION | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed PARIVISION | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…a953backed PARIVISION | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked PARIVISION | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 99.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked PARIVISION | 35c | 98.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed PARIVISION | 34c | 96.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked OG | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked OG | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed OG | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…b8f7backed OG | 75c | 80.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…fd5ebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 77.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed PARIVISION | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed OG | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed OG | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.