Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Dayton Flyers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf94c46fa727ea0f53feef71bb587d47daa58d2fbe22b52702ecb0e0e04e0b7d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof Dayton Flyers, Bradley Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,169 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 6,881$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.68 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bradley Braves | 47c | 4,218$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.41 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bradley Braves | 46c | 3,926$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Dayton Flyers | 55c | 3,227$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.66 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bradley Braves | 49c | 2,609$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.63 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…e2b5backed Dayton Flyers | 50c | 2,043$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bradley Braves | 47c | 2,042$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.86 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.86 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bradley Braves | 46c | 1,450$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dayton Flyers | 51c | 1,110$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.91 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 900.3$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 868.87$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.45 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Bradley Braves | 48c | 770.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.08 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Bradley Braves | 47c | 715.71$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.38 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…945ebacked Bradley Braves | 50c | 708$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…6159backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 704$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0123…fb8bbacked Bradley Braves | 50c | 640$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 559.62$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.73 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Bradley Braves | 47c | 421.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Dayton Flyers | 54c | 370.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Bradley Braves | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 228.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Bradley Braves | 46c | 176.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bradley Braves | 41c | 163.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Bradley Braves | 46c | 156.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Bradley Braves | 49c | 141.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Bradley Braves | 46c | 119.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 104.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Bradley Braves | 47c | 101.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dayton Flyers | 52c | 94.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 93.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Dayton Flyers | 54c | 92.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Bradley Braves | 47c | 82.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Bradley Braves | 48c | 82.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bradley Braves | 46c | 74.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…2e70backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 44.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 38.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Bradley Braves | 47c | 37.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Bradley Braves | 47c | 33.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 32.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 32.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Bradley Braves | 46c | 31.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…1a39backed Dayton Flyers | 55c | 30.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…a2a2backed Dayton Flyers | 55c | 27.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bradley Braves | 47c | 25.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a73…de17backed Dayton Flyers | 50c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…436cbacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 20.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 20.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Dayton Flyers | 61c | 18.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-1.5)this page
- Bradley Braves vs. Dayton FlyersDayton Flyers won
- Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 141.5Over won
- Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-2.5)Dayton Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.