Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce024cb9ee9324819dd4b2b65f0e16d9a41b75e09b39788f4fbccb276e62734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,333 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 4,311$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 4,067$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…33eebacked Under | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…99a3backed Over | 49c | 3,884$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,902$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.06 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 53c | 2,788$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.93 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 57c | 876.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145e…bb39backed Under | 48c | 774.77$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 43c | 593.86$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.5 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 277.33$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 47c | 206.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 59c | 150.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 47c | 147.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 99.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 43c | 99.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 43c | 90.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 83.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 54c | 67.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 45c | 55.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 45c | 43.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 45c | 43.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 45c | 43.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 47c | 39.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 46c | 38.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 36.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…cf32backed Over | 50c | 35.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Over | 43c | 29.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 54c | 29.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 48c | 27.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6b…e84bbacked Over | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 143.5this page
- Bradley Braves vs. Dayton FlyersDayton Flyers won
- Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-1.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-2.5)Dayton Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.