TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,869 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes23c34,639$8,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,611.414932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c14,555$11,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,507.293,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c13,056$9,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,528.441,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes19c9,117$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,412.5847748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c4,728$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.1580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c4,526$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.1377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No72c3,801$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.552065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes23c3,776$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.6913347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c2,837$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.9623643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes19c2,569$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No79c2,309$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.867044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c2,168$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.3221545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No3c2,075$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.893253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes19c2,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.893056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No76c1,155$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.812451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes22c1,136$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.364445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes19c1,103$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.153452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No80c937.5$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes19c872.29$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.294325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c783.08$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.3337649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c735.99$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c702$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.4655750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes18c658.92$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.326841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No77c641.41$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.895054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No79c535.48$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.244553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Yes48c515.42$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.451070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes22c511$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.581942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3854456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed No5c407.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked No4c405.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes77c386.67$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes19c328.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.232437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No76c295.29$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.854447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f40…af55backed Yes22c293.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x744e…3224backed No16c283$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.28425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes29c267$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5720648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1624326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No78c260$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Yes25c256.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948d…1a11backed No4c253.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes52c246.12$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1418967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.14242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077f…ca20backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.11735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c232.42$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes27c212$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.769740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No75c205.87$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.65850%29 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2d…c6b9backed Yes19c201.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No51c199.31$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5928721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes22c193.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3213046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes8c186.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.313151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2a…6f46backed Yes45c185.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes50c182.77$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.392676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c180$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c167.64$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80a…1a43backed Yes23c156.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes19c150$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.526346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c150$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.744362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.58653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.53354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.519657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes8c142.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+98.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ad…8773backed Yes30c132$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e3…320cbacked Yes26c132$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafb6…bafdbacked Yes30c127$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No77c125$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.255257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d8…3d22backed Yes30c122$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…1df7backed Yes17c116.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No71c115.64$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.624967.3%33 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No77c115$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.555651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No73c111.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dde…e011backed Yes21c104.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes13c104.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.451,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4009…d84bbacked Yes26c102$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed No79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7115341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7713557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c98.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.724920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No71c96.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.864252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No77c90$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.35556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No76c88.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.022965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes17c88.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.247642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe06c…235bbacked Yes21c86.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+119.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d541backed Yes20c85.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No79c79.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.913950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32aa…0c01backed Yes25c78.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No77c75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7520154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb133…de2bbacked No71c63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.84025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.