TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,498 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No78c29,113$22,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,404.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes22c28,325$6,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,231.512871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No16c13,531$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,360.0314761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c9,205$5,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.1247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c4,616$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c4,411$3,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.6180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c4,203$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.637138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes48c1,662$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.5177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Yes22c1,450$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes22c1,360$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fc…7162backed No78c1,265$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes3c1,074$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2210045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes20c957.39$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.925149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes21c949$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.296841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c949$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2939567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c583.84$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.613,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No78c543.33$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.531250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes20c481.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3413046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No51c464.69$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8126346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes23c456.52$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c403$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes62c338.32$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No76c329.55$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No78c310$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1667…4806backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No28c210.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.714645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes64c208.22$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4321545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes66c203.31$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1692346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2a…6f46backed Yes25c197.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes26c195.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+85.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c192$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Yes71c169.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd16…649cbacked Yes22c142.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…235bbacked Yes61c112.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+119.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No78c110.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1830735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c109.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.928721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes19c104.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Yes23c104.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4010757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-63.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Yes53c98.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.451216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e8b…efc7backed Yes31c97.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No77c89.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.654355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes23c80.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.718251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes25c79.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.835626.8%15 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077f…ca20backed No38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.951735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes37c78.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No35c68.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6331834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbccb…175abacked Yes40c66.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes23c65.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.172147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes21c65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.659740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes40c64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.391,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Yes23c61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes23c60.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No22c55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.791540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.54868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c46.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes24c44.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.833240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Yes35c44.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.471735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Yes33c43.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No39c41.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3124920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes77c41.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.89850%4 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked No66c39.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Yes31c31.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.35961%36 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No78c28.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.062965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes57c26.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.03520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6146…e07dbacked Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes75c24.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4dca…d26dbacked Yes63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dde…e011backed Yes63c20.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.12568%17 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb9…54b5backed Yes80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.