TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No43c193,718$82,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,290.0213053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes58c174,996$101,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,889.299649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes53c42,130$22,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,329.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No46c25,706$11,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,881.9625149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes59c15,534$9,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,182.9912451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c14,635$7,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,923.153,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c12,979$5,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,184.631,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Yes54c12,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,480450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c10,767$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,785.8547748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No39c5,250$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No40c5,165$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c4,621$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.4680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Yes50c4,549$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.351752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c3,717$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes60c3,510$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.2415341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.771485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No43c3,311$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.2513347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4005251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1038…fd48backed No49c2,277$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c2,181$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.1823643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No39c1,670$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes52c1,396$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.922152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No44c1,292$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.435054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No48c1,266$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.9726050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes56c1,026$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.5314761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No43c1,000$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.226841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No47c950$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.54252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c933.53$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0821545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes56c910.93$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.049151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes44c870$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No41c862.11$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.72263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes60c664.32$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed No47c660$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3246155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes70c598.05$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.7739567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No41c574.71$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes52c568$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.669652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No41c559.13$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.1937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c555.23$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.3754949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No45c551.86$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.627044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes5c540.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9931834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No42c535.85$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.365850%29 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No41c501.1$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No44c499.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.994456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes53c489.23$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.298661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes12c480.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.743151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No35c460.15$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.141,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c425.94$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2243655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed No58c372.83$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No43c343.98$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.728251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes60c318.9$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2a…6f46backed Yes54c312.93$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No42c300.1$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.32245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No45c300$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.56256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes50c288.01$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes57c263.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.237542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No47c257.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.064548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe06c…235bbacked Yes45c227.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+119.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No46c217.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.72560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No47c211.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2510853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No44c208.76$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.94656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes12c202$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2428851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1169957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7030…195ebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes56c184.3$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.214447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes48c182$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.394932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No43c180.93$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3813046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No49c180$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked No41c179$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes59c178.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.63040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes35c174.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6626346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No39c174$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed No41c172.88$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9551…5807backed No48c167$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…fbf7backed No45c156.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8419657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes60c141.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes30c136.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed No39c119$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.591450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No47c115.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1410648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No44c115$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.45651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No39c114$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.542857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes51c113.73$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Yes58c113.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes59c111.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.897150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e1…55fabacked Yes61c111.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes59c111.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed No41c108.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.