TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,461 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No62c82,818$51,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,150.59649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes38c34,621$13,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,366.1925149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes38c20,134$7,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,531.888845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c9,065$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,632.197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c7,821$3,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.1977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No62c7,534$4,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,664.8712451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c6,542$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,068.7223643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c4,709$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.773,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c3,694$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.061,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.0413347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2404035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes38c1,954$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.74932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes38c1,800$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1166732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c1,800$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.7347748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes37c1,357$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c1,166$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.277044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes66c655$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.33652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes37c638.64$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.346841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No58c629.81$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1326346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3726155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…62bfbacked Yes35c457$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+103.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c453$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.5715051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No13c424.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4441339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37fc…7d57backed Yes38c325.65$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Yes35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1954100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+142%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes36c286.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5813950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes35c284.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0320554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1613046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c242.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes34c232.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6229460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Yes38c231.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.584100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+80.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes39c221.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.875850%29 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c204.01$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5337649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Yes43c203$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6216453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes67c198.2$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ca…b357backed Yes38c196.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a8…610cbacked No63c195.36$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes39c188$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.683253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes37c178.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.381346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes40c178.3$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.089239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes35c170.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9413053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa555…20babacked No63c165.32$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x718e…c203backed Yes38c164.6$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes65c155.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.56546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes36c147$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.083145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No51c143.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5431834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes39c139.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.339234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No66c134.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8618967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes36c132.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8710648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Yes54c128.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.241650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes45c113.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.673234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes55c111.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5039567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes37c111$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.939740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes64c110.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No26c103.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.651,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes64c99.36$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.772259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No37c91.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.658251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No53c90.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No62c86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.324252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes39c81.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.27150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No48c81.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.193151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c81.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9115144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed No37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No64c80.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Yes39c76.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.736555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes42c73.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No62c68.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes29c66.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.31,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed Yes38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.791172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes39c62.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2815458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes43c60.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6737138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Yes34c60.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+77%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed No60c58.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.091250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes40c56.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.812965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes38c56.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.851,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9791…caeabacked Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec0…7ebabacked Yes38c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Yes38c52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No41c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.323043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No62c52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No37c50.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4128721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.512667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No62c46.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.115251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788a…bff2backed Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.154271.4%30 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No62c45.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed No60c42.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd732…0fd0backed Yes38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked No62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82842.9%12 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes64c39.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.27875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes44c39.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.983447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No55c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.427951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.