Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe34021d0efbe861ace8224965634a4a5f32d1b7ac872c7e7e7abad33a4138d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,910 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 33c | 36,197$11,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,884.52 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 66c | 30,568$20,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,302.74 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 66c | 7,500$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 34c | 6,134$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.56 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 35c | 4,663$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.72 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 3,890$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.82 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 66c | 3,624$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.16 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 33c | 3,546$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.26 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 67c | 3,500$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 67c | 2,517$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.78 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.72 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 66c | 2,272$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 1,942$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.95 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 1,508$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.78 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.36 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 1,368$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.29 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,341$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.05 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 66c | 1,279$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,254$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 1,216$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.29 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,190$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.83 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 66c | 959.09$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 908.27$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.97 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 34c | 882$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed No | 66c | 777$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 67c | 748.53$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 36c | 599.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 35c | 388.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed No | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 328$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 35c | 281.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 14c | 260.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked No | 66c | 239.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 34c | 217.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 211.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 33c | 202.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 34c | 185.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 19c | 182.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 181.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 35c | 175.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 34c | 136.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 63c | 133.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…1efbbacked No | 65c | 117.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…f835backed No | 65c | 115.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 63c | 108.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 107.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 104.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…5f6dbacked No | 65c | 92.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 67c | 87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 86.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 67c | 77.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 36c | 66.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…b7f8backed Yes | 36c | 65.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 34c | 60.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 30c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…4aaabacked Yes | 36c | 56.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 67c | 50.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.