NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc11c097c85874651563e08c2673cd6514fe4017579f646e4295b5791c8b0ee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,289 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Jazz | 49c | 129,943$63,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,671.98 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 46,103$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,103.27 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 47c | 39,361$18,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,347.19 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 31,128$15,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,196.66 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Jazz | 50c | 31,047$15,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,523.56 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Timberwolves | 51c | 17,647$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,647.06 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 12,906$6,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,323.98 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Timberwolves | 51c | 10,196$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.08 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…9944backed Jazz | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 9,176$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.47 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Jazz | 48c | 9,004$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.9 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 8,975$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.98 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 8,664$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,245.36 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 52c | 6,467$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 46c | 6,347$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Timberwolves | 51c | 6,256$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.42 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 6,241$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.26 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz | 49c | 6,154$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.59 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Timberwolves | 51c | 5,413$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.53 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 5,272$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.35 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,265$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.07 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,094$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,060$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.4 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,914$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.42 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,907$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.33 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jazz | 48c | 2,881$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.11 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,741$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.17 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,421$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz | 41c | 2,317$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.57 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 50c | 2,153$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.68 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Jazz | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,004$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,557$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.6 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 47c | 1,549$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 46c | 1,414$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 46c | 1,330$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,312$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.52 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,273$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.58 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.21 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 47c | 1,019$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.81 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Timberwolves | 54c | 974.57$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.3 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Timberwolves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jazz | 47c | 956$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.81 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Timberwolves | 52c | 918.41$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.84 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 733$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.17 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Timberwolves | 71c | 713.04$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Timberwolves | 51c | 710.86$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.32 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves | 50c | 710$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Jazz | 50c | 710$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Jazz | 46c | 613.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.43 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…c700backed Timberwolves | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…4583backed Jazz | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz | 48c | 558.49$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 557.27$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.91 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 46c | 556.16$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…cf62backed Timberwolves | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…bf5ebacked Jazz | 49c | 550$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz | 48c | 526$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Jazz | 58c | 518.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Jazz | 47c | 414.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Jazz | 46c | 399.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 53c | 380.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.04 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Jazz | 57c | 349.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…2c27backed Jazz | 47c | 342.84$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…6ac2backed Timberwolves | 54c | 342.74$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Jazz | 57c | 335.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.13 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 46c | 304.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Timberwolves | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee15…caa7backed Timberwolves | 54c | 290$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f2…a8a8backed Jazz | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Jazz | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Jazz | 49c | 221.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 211.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jazz | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 57c | 205.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Jazz | 51c | 202.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Jazz | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Timberwolves | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Jazz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Jazz | 46c | 174.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Jazz | 47c | 173$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Jazz | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Jazz | 51c | 146.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Jazz | 44c | 145.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Timberwolves | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves | 59c | 130.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.