NBA · resolved market
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7dfd0c488cee78804db3e455c4d5763894afe27c9855c7f4eed2aaf860a2e5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,834 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6420…254abacked Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 64c | 1,825$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.44 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…eea6backed Yes | 32c | 1,605$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…91f9backed Yes | 47c | 1,031$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 59c | 837.49$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.89 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Yes | 42c | 415.07$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 46c | 326.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 65c | 263.26$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 53c | 221.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…bb32backed Yes | 35c | 101.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 57c | 97.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 270 | 74.1%200 W · 70 L | +30.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…052fbacked Yes | 28c | 58.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 58c | 57.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 58c | 50.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 76c | 27.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 58c | 22.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked No | 70c | 19.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.