Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7398cc34b14d2afb22499fa7bb07365799d596536c3ccf5753459b9dc6c21713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Cavaliersof Virginia Cavaliers, Miami Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 43,467$22,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,007.67 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 12,173$5,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,842.89 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.99 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 6,852$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.33 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 5,679$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 3,172$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.09 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 2,974$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.88 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 1,620$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 1,196$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.67 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 793$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 793$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 349.85$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 327.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 224.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Miami Hurricanes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 194.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 167.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 49c | 163.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 135.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 46c | 106.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 99.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 97.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 48c | 97.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 96.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 87.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 75.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 59.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 59.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 58.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 58.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 54.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…18e6backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 51.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 51.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 47.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 46.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 45.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…3d34backed Virginia Cavaliers | 59c | 41.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 134.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 138.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-12.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-4.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.