Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d3d215cefde6be90947d9644fcbc9b134b11ed284750b95b30d66687f0b02d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,376 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 20,501$10,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,952.17 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 48c | 16,067$7,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,712.35 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,263$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 48c | 2,027$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.02 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,502$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Under | 10c | 800$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Under | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +900%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 53c | 333.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 200.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Over | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 10c | 159.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 50c | 137.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 135.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 134.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 30c | 112.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 52c | 97.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 95.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 53c | 91.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 53c | 87.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 85.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 29c | 63.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 58.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 53c | 54.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 48c | 40.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf556…d2c2backed Under | 48c | 40.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 64c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 52c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 26.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 144.5this page
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 134.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 138.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-12.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-4.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.