TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sporting Kansas Cityof Los Angeles Galaxy, Sporting Kansas City
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$376,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,775 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Los Angeles Galaxy39c333,340$128,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,552.7215647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Sporting Kansas City62c303,098$186,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,576.8413053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Sporting Kansas City62c19,008$11,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,223.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Galaxy38c11,535$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,393.1825149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sporting Kansas City62c8,777$5,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.633,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sporting Kansas City60c4,743$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.4612451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Sporting Kansas City60c3,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4005054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Sporting Kansas City60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Los Angeles Galaxy35c1,182$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.731118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Sporting Kansas City62c969.67$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.672263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sporting Kansas City61c919.41$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.1997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Los Angeles Galaxy39c547.75$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.383426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Sporting Kansas City62c522$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3613347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Los Angeles Galaxy39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Sporting Kansas City60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Los Angeles Galaxy38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904650%23 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ca2…f1edbacked Los Angeles Galaxy38c494$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3001…4ac2backed Los Angeles Galaxy42c477.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dec…058cbacked Sporting Kansas City62c458.45$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Sporting Kansas City61c450$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Los Angeles Galaxy40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Sporting Kansas City60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d8…2600backed Los Angeles Galaxy38c384$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…695ebacked Los Angeles Galaxy38c348$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e49…7641backed Los Angeles Galaxy38c334$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sporting Kansas City61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11719657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Sporting Kansas City62c274.66$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.661758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x686a…3404backed Los Angeles Galaxy38c265$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Los Angeles Galaxy39c258.58$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8515341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sporting Kansas City62c242.04$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.926841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7030…195ebacked Los Angeles Galaxy42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2973…e8ddbacked Sporting Kansas City62c190$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda1…2e97backed Sporting Kansas City62c186$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa285…4a21backed Sporting Kansas City62c185$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sporting Kansas City51c185$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe2…b543backed Los Angeles Galaxy38c178.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…1fdebacked Sporting Kansas City62c176$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f2…a37fbacked Sporting Kansas City62c175$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3bd…349abacked Sporting Kansas City62c173$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7d…ba41backed Sporting Kansas City62c173$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2815…1cdbbacked Sporting Kansas City62c169$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Los Angeles Galaxy40c162.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.942931%9 W · 20 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa5e1…d473backed Los Angeles Galaxy38c158.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe43c…ccd5backed Los Angeles Galaxy38c150.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Sporting Kansas City60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Sporting Kansas City60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Sporting Kansas City60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sporting Kansas City60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Sporting Kansas City60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sporting Kansas City61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.520154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57a…73ecbacked Los Angeles Galaxy38c149.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sporting Kansas City60c141.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.674459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5da…2bf4backed Sporting Kansas City62c136$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Galaxy34c132.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.131,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2404…938cbacked Sporting Kansas City62c132$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc022…065abacked Sporting Kansas City62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Sporting Kansas City60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Sporting Kansas City60c115$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Sporting Kansas City62c113.51$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Sporting Kansas City60c110.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.74951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Galaxy38c101.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7513046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Sporting Kansas City60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Sporting Kansas City60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sporting Kansas City60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4013557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Sporting Kansas City61c99.66$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.867150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Sporting Kansas City62c92.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.05850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Sporting Kansas City60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Sporting Kansas City60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Sporting Kansas City60c88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.282044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Los Angeles Galaxy36c84.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Sporting Kansas City60c76.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.321540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Los Angeles Galaxy40c73.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Galaxy21c70.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0928721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Sporting Kansas City60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Los Angeles Galaxy43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+61.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Galaxy37c52.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6224920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24a1…3d34backed Los Angeles Galaxy38c51.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+81.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Sporting Kansas City61c50.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5813950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Sporting Kansas City74c50.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Los Angeles Galaxy40c50.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206439.1%25 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Sporting Kansas City61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.54755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Sporting Kansas City60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Sporting Kansas City61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sporting Kansas City59c48.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Los Angeles Galaxy36c47.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.972552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Sporting Kansas City60c46.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.676100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Sporting Kansas City62c46.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Los Angeles Galaxy39c39.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.318251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6742…1dacbacked Sporting Kansas City63c37.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Sporting Kansas City60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Sporting Kansas City60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25633.9%19 W · 37 L-9.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.