Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa67fd229685acd825d4d18fc87d95a7299cfedfd5575c678352c0bee1ffd9b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,053 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 10,736$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 3,108$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.48 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 2c | 2,580$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.4 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 2c | 2,474$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.52 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under | 2c | 2,011$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.43 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 50c | 1,484$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 17c | 1,249$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.17 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 2c | 1,142$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 4cpaid | +842.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 48c | 609.34$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 537.68$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.55 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Over | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 52c | 442.45$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 379.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.13 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…4befbacked Over | 53c | 349.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 20c | 332$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 250.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 49c | 221.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 17c | 217.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 52c | 191.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 79c | 180$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 140.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 28c | 138.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 17c | 120.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 17c | 64.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 16c | 63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 49c | 60.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 27c | 59.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 30c | 59.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 34c | 42.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Over | 49c | 40.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 63c | 35.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Under | 44c | 25.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 49c | 24.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…997fbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.