Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0537f26a7a05c17a5a543e6d37cef1536206def9eeca8b2915d57efca130dfd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,888 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,794$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.41 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 29c | 1,035$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.64 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 37c | 1,018$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 402.19$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,020.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 367.45$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Yes | 58c | 264.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 60c | 167.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 59c | 141$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked No | 42c | 135.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 58c | 129$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked No | 42c | 128.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 71.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 39c | 63.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…f42cbacked No | 73c | 59.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 58.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 60c | 46.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 24c | 41.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 39c | 33.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 31.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked No | 42c | 30.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.