South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd812a2d793df2ae8a5dcfac0fb9d9ad4d6b789d8f742be99f729c509f3cabb0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,337 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 4,478$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.2 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,805$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 2,391$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.71 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 1,992$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.92 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.67 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,045$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.26 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 54c | 1,031$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 16c | 902.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 8c | 901$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 866.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yes | 51c | 430.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 52c | 222.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 50c | 195$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 168.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…c6b9backed Yes | 12c | 166.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 50c | 119.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 52c | 119.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 30c | 87.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 48c | 83.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 81.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed No | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 55c | 64.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 51c | 53.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 66c | 42.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 39.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 51c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 50c | 21.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed No | 70c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…b3c3backed Yes | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Club León FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.