South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bcfb9f8d8af762a52851cb75c3d3aa496e298ea65f16770663a6e9f326b4d47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,936 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 6c | 10,657$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 25c | 4,075$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.79 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 1,479$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.73 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 23c | 1,254$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 938.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 880.58$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.82 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 11c | 878.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 77c | 773.25$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 754.23$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 12c | 664$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 522.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 455.92$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.64 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 393.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 378.57$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.88 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 356.79$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.33 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 315.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 280.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed No | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…fa6bbacked No | 74c | 256.44$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 75cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 24c | 213$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 193$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 149.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 129.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 51c | 128.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 23c | 116.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 82.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 24c | 81.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 50c | 68.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 72c | 62.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 77c | 60.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…d26dbacked Yes | 78c | 56.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 21c | 54.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 47c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 50.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 64c | 46.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 76c | 46.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 61c | 45.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 29.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Club León FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.