Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x475999d33cc0bedab29990f55652a5e21c3250ed8cde22400dce18fd5b0e40ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,134 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 5c | 22,275$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,748$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.43 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 7c | 1,337$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 43c | 1,255$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.65 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,198$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 38c | 892.17$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.65 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 628.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 42c | 258$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 17c | 249.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 54c | 234.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 10c | 228$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 43c | 219$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 32c | 204.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 204.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf982…273cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 59c | 169.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 44c | 123.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 29c | 101.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 99.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 96.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…2aa7backed No | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 58c | 65.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed Yes | 58c | 64.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 58c | 64.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…d7cdbacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes | 70c | 52.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 57c | 36.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 31.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 60c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.