CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed980d68d831cef2bd5a10068f2d0f6f66227a232416d77dbfe4cdfbbf5afb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Huntersof Game Hunters, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,465 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN Academy | 0c | 5,607$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Academy | 22c | 2,834$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.58 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN Academy | 21c | 2,427$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Game Hunters | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Game Hunters | 78c | 1,303$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.4 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN Academy | 17c | 866.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Game Hunters | 77c | 856.85$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed paiN Academy | 15c | 816.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked paiN Academy | 32c | 744.03$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed paiN Academy | 20c | 705$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Game Hunters | 78c | 654$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Game Hunters | 79c | 576.43$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Game Hunters | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy | 22c | 499.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed paiN Academy | 19c | 493.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…dd74backed paiN Academy | 13c | 476.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Academy | 21c | 455.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked paiN Academy | 32c | 454.41$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Game Hunters | 78c | 453.97$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Game Hunters | 67c | 432.24$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy | 15c | 367.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed paiN Academy | 16c | 355.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed paiN Academy | 17c | 320.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy | 24c | 301.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…7ea8backed paiN Academy | 29c | 296.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Game Hunters | 80c | 270.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed paiN Academy | 20c | 255.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked paiN Academy | 20c | 243.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked paiN Academy | 15c | 227$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Game Hunters | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked paiN Academy | 22c | 155$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…9d52backed paiN Academy | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed paiN Academy | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed paiN Academy | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN Academy | 17c | 131.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Game Hunters | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Game Hunters | 75c | 123.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked paiN Academy | 9c | 123.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed paiN Academy | 34c | 110.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed paiN Academy | 22c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed paiN Academy | 10c | 103.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed paiN Academy | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked paiN Academy | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…2a5ebacked Game Hunters | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…95c4backed paiN Academy | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Game Hunters | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked paiN Academy | 17c | 89.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed paiN Academy | 21c | 89.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Game Hunters | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked paiN Academy | 17c | 87.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Game Hunters | 78c | 87.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed paiN Academy | 14c | 83.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…ac7ebacked paiN Academy | 23c | 80.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…1ae5backed paiN Academy | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Game Hunters | 78c | 78.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed paiN Academy | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked paiN Academy | 23c | 77.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed paiN Academy | 14c | 77.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Game Hunters | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN Academy | 20c | 75.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked paiN Academy | 20c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed paiN Academy | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Game Hunters | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Game Hunters | 68c | 55.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Game Hunters | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…7b51backed Game Hunters | 78c | 50.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Game Hunters | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed paiN Academy | 22c | 49.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed paiN Academy | 26c | 47.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Game Hunters | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Game Hunters | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed paiN Academy | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Game Hunters | 78c | 24.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Game Hunters | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Game Hunters | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Game Hunters | 80c | 18.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Game Hunters | 79c | 17.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…c21ebacked Game Hunters | 80c | 16.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Game Hunters | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerGame Hunters won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerpaiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.