TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,895 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed Yes43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.983036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.983135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No57c9,799$5,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.8585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No56c9,035$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.2735652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes43c9,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.9713444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c6,478$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.72,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes43c4,524$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.2211149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c3,611$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.974,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5059272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No57c3,333$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.1918259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No24c2,975$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.0150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No57c2,900$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2473351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c2,520$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.026,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07513662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes70c2,202$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.322,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No21c2,092$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.341,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7921,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No57c1,695$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.744856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No67c1,580$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.931471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+126.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No34c1,374$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.761,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes36c1,357$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.767042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Yes74c1,350$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes44c900$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c896.17$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.511,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30139948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No11c656.61$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.255129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes45c564$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.812642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2157268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c463.97$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.891,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c452.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes44c451$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.448144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8fc…04aabacked Yes44c448.64$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes44c409.09$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No14c397.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8912136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c368.92$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.961,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No57c354.72$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No57c353$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes42c285.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.125633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes19c250$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Yes44c235.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.821323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x454a…8d44backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No68c220.26$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6845142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c202.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9657150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes40c199.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.997550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4412139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No57c173.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.785763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes44c171$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed No57c163.16$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.162268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+58.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No57c151$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9325348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No57c150.49$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9710750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No56c149.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9911866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c137.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Yes44c136.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.022240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa413…1fe0backed Yes42c130$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes43c127.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No57c125$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No57c124.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5339052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No57c115$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74c1…7ad0backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes45c108.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9422242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked No57c105.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.274645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4427846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4346660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4336259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434477.3%34 W · 10 L+10.2wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4356158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No40c98.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6522335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Yes42c91.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.463050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes19c91.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.046648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.727354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.732357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Yes43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.847440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0870…1e49backed Yes45c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No57c87.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7210949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a63…9664backed Yes44c83.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6480%0 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No57c82.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4332345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Yes44c73.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.163946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.116863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Yes44c65.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Yes44c64.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.182445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Yes44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.43056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.826958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.837554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.