Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ffb74314759f40dccf24b2713c2bd10e876e9eb932740a32a928dba98fa1762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,867 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 6c | 9,132$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 31c | 3,333$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.58 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,342$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Yes | 27c | 1,093$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 28c | 1,010$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 1c | 900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 27c | 854$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 790.3$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 745.98$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 692.61$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.95 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 542$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 314.82$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 27c | 301$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 172.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 155.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 119$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…0f35backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 109.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 271 | 51.7%140 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 72c | 74.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 73c | 51.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 72c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 47.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 72c | 25.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 78c | 24.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 20.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 19.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 16.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 72c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.