Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d0f5aa09e37d34a0cbfdc3cd0c25498cd33efde839c92b9e020f2bdd60bef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,661 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 22c | 6,786$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.42 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 5,732$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.68 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 78c | 2,744$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.17 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 11c | 1,052$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.85 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 586.1$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.5 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 455.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 63c | 290.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 70c | 285.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 103 | 78.6%81 W · 22 L | +22.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 242.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Yes | 29c | 234.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 73c | 154.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 11c | 145.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 13c | 133.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 33c | 96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 42c | 68.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 56.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 53.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 46.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 65c | 45.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 30c | 42.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 52c | 40.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…0e9ebacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…8260backed No | 65c | 15.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 15.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.