Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa12068680449438963ef7c04bfbe1553f258594304771ac70e1c992a22f109df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,792 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 55c | 8,985$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.18 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.95 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 5,588$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.81 | 3,288 | 42.6%1,400 W · 1,888 L | -74.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 4,576$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.96 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 29c | 3,789$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 46c | 2,963$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 2,931$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.8 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 48c | 1,771$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.83 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 1,661$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.58 | 1,691 | 45%761 W · 930 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 33c | 1,558$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 38c | 1,306$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.34 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Over | 38c | 1,248$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Over | 53c | 1,179$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Over | 40c | 1,004$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 739.96$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 488 | 58.8%287 W · 201 L | +45.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 77c | 700$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 47c | 660.58$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 50c | 612.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 596.94$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.86 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Over | 55c | 483.31$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 384.05$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 46c | 373.41$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 48c | 293.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 281.12$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 1,024 | 44.4%455 W · 569 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 55c | 273$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 239.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 1,315 | 40.6%534 W · 781 L | -44.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…25a5backed Over | 52c | 238.36$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 54c | 222$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 30c | 220.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 54c | 209.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…e3c9backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 54c | 155.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Under | 25c | 140.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 53c | 131.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 117.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Over | 49c | 113.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 74c | 108$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 106.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 46c | 102.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…e1eebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…7555backed Over | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Under | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Over | 53c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 84.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 46c | 64.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…3313backed Over | 54c | 53.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 56c | 51.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 42.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 40.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 54c | 40.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 46c | 39.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 39c | 38.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.