CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e8c37dd76f07b687821b71ba2f4be6f069e97d6320b93c70d927a5bcfebada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,231 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 45c | 19,992$8,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,995.67 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Under | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 58c | 10,423$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.46 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 38c | 6,945$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.7 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 36c | 6,159$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 40c | 5,825$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.95 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 38c | 5,384$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.02 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 55c | 4,038$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 55c | 2,278$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 55c | 1,356$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Over | 47c | 1,177$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.45 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…b2cabacked Under | 30c | 821.63$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 819.25$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 726.47$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.29 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 42c | 587.21$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.67 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 70c | 573.89$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…f087backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 46c | 456.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.7 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 57c | 381.05$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 57c | 320$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.31 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b16…0a60backed Under | 32c | 313.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 46c | 288$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 261.02$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 58c | 240.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Over | 60c | 132.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Over | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…6ac8backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 24c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Over | 49c | 81.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 58c | 66.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 66c | 62.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…c0d1backed Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…3622backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4373…7c78backed Over | 71c | 56.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 60c | 49.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked Under | 37c | 46.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Over | 77c | 46.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 33c | 45.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 68c | 43.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19b…f3fabacked Over | 46c | 38.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…c955backed Under | 33c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…00b4backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 50c | 21.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…d007backed Over | 76c | 16.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…62c8backed Over | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b9…ad6bbacked Over | 72c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.