TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Leandro Riedi vs Rinky Hijikata

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rinky Hijikataof Leandro Riedi, Rinky Hijikata
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56fc…733ebacked Rinky Hijikata50c10,800$5,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40711053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Leandro Riedi50c9,151$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,575.3634136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rinky Hijikata67c6,696$4,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.348,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Leandro Riedi57c5,309$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025852.7%136 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Leandro Riedi55c3,559$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.451,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Leandro Riedi44c2,509$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.411,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Rinky Hijikata49c2,078$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.7657645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…f991backed Rinky Hijikata69c2,076$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.333354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed Leandro Riedi57c2,063$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1857368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Leandro Riedi41c2,063$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.23,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rinky Hijikata69c2,045$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6372,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Rinky Hijikata50c1,489$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.3267249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rinky Hijikata44c1,421$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.911,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Rinky Hijikata49c1,162$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.3512951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Leandro Riedi22c1,162$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.342,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Rinky Hijikata46c1,093$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.551,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Leandro Riedi42c1,031$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.524,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Rinky Hijikata46c987.38$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.638133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Leandro Riedi51c977$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2733241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Leandro Riedi54c926.57$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Rinky Hijikata46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5713439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Leandro Riedi24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Rinky Hijikata44c798.7$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.271,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Leandro Riedi53c775.8$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.726,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Rinky Hijikata78c772.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.072564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Leandro Riedi14c767.11$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Rinky Hijikata48c740$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.816648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leandro Riedi9c695.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.517,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Leandro Riedi52c619.45$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Rinky Hijikata48c599.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2346649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Leandro Riedi21c557$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Leandro Riedi21c536$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Rinky Hijikata71c522.49$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.432,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2301…c95fbacked Rinky Hijikata48c512.61$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.664759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e24…c746backed Rinky Hijikata50c508.84$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.842544%11 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Rinky Hijikata50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Leandro Riedi56c495.44$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.126,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rinky Hijikata45c482$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Leandro Riedi58c475$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4737342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Rinky Hijikata44c434.23$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1237330.3%113 W · 260 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Leandro Riedi22c427$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.673745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Rinky Hijikata49c424.49$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4946030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Leandro Riedi53c418.75$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.292,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Rinky Hijikata46c401.32$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3217955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Rinky Hijikata50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20023454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Leandro Riedi54c387.15$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.591,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…6a55backed Rinky Hijikata54c325.54$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.543658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rinky Hijikata43c303$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.624,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Leandro Riedi42c300.4$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.392,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Rinky Hijikata48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15558753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Rinky Hijikata47c284.29$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.562,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Leandro Riedi55c263.16$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.63745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Rinky Hijikata46c258$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.321,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Leandro Riedi50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rinky Hijikata78c228.19$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.182,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Rinky Hijikata45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Leandro Riedi53c218.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9212952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Rinky Hijikata45c217.15$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.981,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Leandro Riedi17c211.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Rinky Hijikata44c208.73$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.49755.7%54 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63d…a59bbacked Rinky Hijikata50c198.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.043836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Leandro Riedi52c197.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7465250.3%328 W · 324 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Rinky Hijikata51c195.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.961,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Rinky Hijikata77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8184963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Leandro Riedi52c191.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0129…e3c9backed Rinky Hijikata53c189.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.919242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Leandro Riedi57c183$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7634744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Leandro Riedi57c180$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10223847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Leandro Riedi53c175.12$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8125546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b1…fa5fbacked Leandro Riedi59c169.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Leandro Riedi51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8032246.9%151 W · 171 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Leandro Riedi28c152.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.823,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Leandro Riedi50c150.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Rinky Hijikata48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8395846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Leandro Riedi55c144$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Leandro Riedi52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.84035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Leandro Riedi47c124.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.613,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Leandro Riedi57c117$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.21,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Leandro Riedi52c110.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.374,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Rinky Hijikata47c107.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1122949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Leandro Riedi25c101.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6520953.6%112 W · 97 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Leandro Riedi54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422039.1%86 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Leandro Riedi55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5560943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Leandro Riedi32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e5…7b3ebacked Leandro Riedi56c98.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.225261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0db7…6fb0backed Leandro Riedi57c96.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Leandro Riedi54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Leandro Riedi54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.624060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Leandro Riedi35c83.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2484736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Rinky Hijikata58c83.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7415650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Rinky Hijikata42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.418541.1%76 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Leandro Riedi31c77.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Rinky Hijikata60c73.18$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0430254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…6deebacked Leandro Riedi56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Leandro Riedi52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.47354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Leandro Riedi52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.411352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf820…a8c7backed Leandro Riedi18c66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Rinky Hijikata76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Rinky Hijikata77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9413444%59 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Rinky Hijikata49c59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.381,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.