CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71c8f4d97aec38466b1bcf81dc508295836b94e25d0d1abcddc932a72c400c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof M80, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,058 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed M80 | 79c | 17,830$14,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,160.67 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Rebels Gaming | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Rebels Gaming | 19c | 4,610$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.1 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Rebels Gaming | 26c | 3,553$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.32 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rebels Gaming | 19c | 3,250$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.72 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Rebels Gaming | 21c | 2,277$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.01 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed M80 | 57c | 1,646$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.69 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rebels Gaming | 23c | 1,250$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.53 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed M80 | 55c | 1,125$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Rebels Gaming | 45c | 1,073$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.16 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rebels Gaming | 25c | 1,031$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.63 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked M80 | 77c | 975.9$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.74 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Rebels Gaming | 22c | 799.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.98 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Rebels Gaming | 20c | 781.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Rebels Gaming | 11c | 753.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.73 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked M80 | 68c | 733.92$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed M80 | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Rebels Gaming | 41c | 658.54$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.54 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rebels Gaming | 36c | 598.34$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.32 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Rebels Gaming | 29c | 555$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.05 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed M80 | 76c | 426$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.63 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed M80 | 70c | 416.18$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed M80 | 27c | 364.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Rebels Gaming | 21c | 353.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.77 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed M80 | 76c | 248.71$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Rebels Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed M80 | 77c | 194.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed M80 | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Rebels Gaming | 19c | 183.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Rebels Gaming | 42c | 158.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed M80 | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rebels Gaming | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Rebels Gaming | 21c | 144.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Rebels Gaming | 68c | 134.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Rebels Gaming | 20c | 132.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rebels Gaming | 19c | 118$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Rebels Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…d7f4backed Rebels Gaming | 23c | 99.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rebels Gaming | 19c | 89.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked Rebels Gaming | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rebels Gaming | 21c | 72.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Rebels Gaming | 42c | 63.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed Rebels Gaming | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Rebels Gaming | 33c | 59.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Rebels Gaming | 22c | 54.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rebels Gaming | 21c | 50.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 48.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked M80 | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked M80 | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Rebels Gaming | 65c | 32.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed M80 | 61c | 30.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed M80 | 75c | 28.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked M80 | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.