CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd097acb6fbaef04496c9b69fcc1dc055f646e0b5ff734a422f4cf1c6c46b6237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betclic Apogee Esportsof Betclic Apogee Esports, Nexus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Nexus | 56c | 1,979$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.81 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 50c | 906.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 51c | 848.72$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.8 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Nexus | 55c | 597.74$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 42c | 510.25$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 45c | 484.57$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Nexus | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 57c | 264.18$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Nexus | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Nexus | 55c | 199$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked Nexus | 58c | 140.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nexus | 19c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Nexus | 22c | 121.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Nexus | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 42c | 44.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nexus | 26c | 43.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…567abacked Nexus | 30c | 39.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 54c | 38.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…6e83backed Nexus | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +88%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…d7f4backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.