Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5103c7190326a4d8bfc6b1b491466593ae204b7ce6dd09c98f2b2d685508a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 58c | 27,200$15,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,424.15 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 60c | 17,223$10,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.64 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 15,771$7,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,704.28 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed No | 0c | 13,430$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Yes | 57c | 7,804$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 57c | 6,058$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.02 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 70c | 6,044$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.79 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 41c | 4,684$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.44 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 3,728$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.72 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.16 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed No | 50c | 3,100$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…5b61backed Yes | 57c | 2,919$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 2,524$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.01 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 2,397$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.88 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 42c | 2,243$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.87 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 42c | 2,201$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.82 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 2,137$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.27 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Yes | 57c | 2,123$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…8106backed Yes | 59c | 1,777$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 59c | 1,502$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.81 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes | 47c | 1,193$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…6be6backed No | 42c | 1,180$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 32c | 1,097$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.9 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 48c | 1,051$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.41 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 34c | 987$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.26 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 59c | 979.87$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 44c | 909.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.26 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 9c | 762$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 71c | 705.87$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.24 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…d91cbacked No | 24c | 699.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…1e50backed Yes | 59c | 650$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 37c | 635.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.14 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 58c | 610.55$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 36c | 594.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 41c | 567$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c00…ed33backed Yes | 59c | 530$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 518.83$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 56c | 510.27$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.52 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 57c | 505$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 37c | 465.38$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 51c | 405$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 53c | 403.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Yes | 25c | 401.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 27c | 400$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 58c | 379.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 40c | 364.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.76 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 52c | 360$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 44c | 336.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 58c | 329.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…517bbacked Yes | 51c | 312.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 43c | 288.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Yes | 59c | 281.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 40c | 280$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 41c | 267.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 56c | 265.66$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 9c | 254.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 244.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 49c | 236.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 58c | 235.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 38c | 227.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 43c | 227.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 26c | 223.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 38c | 212.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 25c | 210$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.