Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2edf06aeded5d7f3141b99ef7f5175f0100640806845f473cce3edef4e083a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 10,712$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.68 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Yes | 66c | 5,808$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 4,831$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.72 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 2,796$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.74 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 9c | 2,464$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 67c | 2,144$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.68 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…7cb7backed Yes | 50c | 1,670$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed No | 54c | 926.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 6c | 800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…d91cbacked Yes | 24c | 699.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 76c | 699.95$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 521.28$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 457.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 78c | 388$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 37c | 299.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 50c | 297.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 52c | 257.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 62c | 247.31$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 61c | 196$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…41bebacked Yes | 8c | 184.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…dc99backed Yes | 80c | 181.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 34c | 174.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 174$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 59c | 169.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…6001backed Yes | 63c | 158.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 154.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…8feebacked Yes | 77c | 149.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…525ebacked Yes | 24c | 133.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 50c | 132.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…a7debacked Yes | 68c | 126.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 23c | 116.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 112.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…0399backed No | 39c | 106.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…9592backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 62c | 88.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…3635backed Yes | 63c | 83.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e94…f7bfbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 23c | 78.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 75.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed No | 75c | 70.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…3c19backed Yes | 74c | 67.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 29c | 60.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 52.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 76c | 52.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed No | 65c | 49.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 39c | 48.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 38c | 47.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 77c | 47.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 30c | 45.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 43.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…e9d4backed Yes | 62c | 38.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 41c | 36.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…ac27backed Yes | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked No | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…352cbacked Yes | 50c | 31.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 65c | 30.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…b0c4backed Yes | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…7a34backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…07d6backed Yes | 60c | 18.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…15e3backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.