Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a49de6ee953f2e02fd861c78deed9abfc2253427a331d37e4e5721aa120f1b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 15,369$7,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.17 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 12,851$6,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.58 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 3,577$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.74 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 53c | 3,560$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.8 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 3,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,157$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.57 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 2,326$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.39 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Over | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 51c | 1,976$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd54…3a0cbacked Over | 50c | 1,370$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 48c | 1,350$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 52c | 1,193$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.6 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…66b7backed Under | 50c | 1,120$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 33c | 1,020$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…de2bbacked Under | 49c | 614$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61c…d57dbacked Under | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 56c | 359.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 70c | 232.04$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 161.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 152.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 37c | 137$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 64c | 114.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 52c | 109.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237a…d4ffbacked Over | 46c | 108.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 50c | 100.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 91.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 50c | 89.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 42c | 64.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 45c | 64.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…37e4backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 50.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 49.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 49c | 47.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 56c | 44.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Under | 61c | 41.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1f…bdb1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Over | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 52c | 37.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 33.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 51c | 23.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Under | 66c | 17.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.