Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb092b116909c649885b0d0b627a3ef554317204229e8624562e5dae91ea03358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 7,335$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.23 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 2,066$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.96 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 69c | 1,029$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.53 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 907$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.61 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 781.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 514.57$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Over | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 75c | 401.33$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 396.06$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Over | 29c | 382.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 46c | 323.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 45c | 293.13$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 63c | 275$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 74c | 242.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 72c | 229.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 63c | 207.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 56c | 189.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 43c | 188.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 56c | 179.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 166.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 152.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 62c | 128.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Under | 53c | 123.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 37c | 104.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 51c | 97.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…8753backed Over | 34c | 97.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 79.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 60c | 73.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 67.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 24c | 61.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 44c | 57.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 60c | 57.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 59c | 56.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Over | 75c | 52.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 48.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Over | 44c | 43.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 51c | 37.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…66b2backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.