Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62760574564b1a4936511b17c5104ff9aeac65e516a8f641a14006aa93835616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 840.12$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.3 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 42c | 738.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 401.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 56c | 134.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 34c | 134.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 58c | 114.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 60c | 89.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Yes | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 47c | 26.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 24.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.