Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbe66038fc2d4f671c15e0c6e456ca100d09b6e55b00ad0ebddb7c305d69ab30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 32c | 3,450$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2ec3backed No | 69c | 1,508$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Yes | 31c | 1,506$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 1,465$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,182$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.18 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 985.64$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 764.36$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 670.92$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Yes | 40c | 591.68$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 70c | 585.85$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 577.47$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 474.87$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 60c | 462.67$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 19c | 320.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.77 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 18c | 210.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 188.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 69c | 156.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 50c | 121.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 71c | 112.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 100.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Yes | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 60c | 83.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 42c | 63.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 24c | 56.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 70c | 49.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Yes | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 35.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 32.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 47c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-30?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.