Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbebb728cbaa4519651c11cb026f28e46360bf1d606d0aa6fd817b611154d85be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 3,132$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.52 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 23c | 1,025$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46c…7ffcbacked Yes | 30c | 999.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 756.49$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed No | 73c | 718.37$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 70c | 699.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 648.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 643.69$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 28c | 615.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 18c | 576.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 406.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 72c | 357.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3098…20e8backed Yes | 29c | 345.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…5334backed Yes | 29c | 320$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…7fdabacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 30c | 280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 211.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…0cccbacked No | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…9496backed No | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb191…28e0backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 141$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 31c | 121$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 62.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 61.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 70c | 57.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 44.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 71c | 34.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 71c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 71c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.