Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e26d589845de058ccf98b0d3ec8ba284a3be1b2a3efb2218d311071acc02de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 8,010$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.26 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 3c | 6,724$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 41c | 2,410$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.75 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 1,738$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 30c | 1,665$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.42 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 1,321$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.27 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 1,257$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.65 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 42c | 1,050$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.6 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,035$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…941cbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 552.83$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.91 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 39c | 513.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.78 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 35c | 371.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.52 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 368$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 10c | 316.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 41c | 300$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 282.23$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 271.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 260.23$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.75 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 37c | 253$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 69c | 246.61$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 44c | 218.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 36c | 216$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 41c | 194.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 185.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 180.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 146.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 44c | 135.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 16c | 135$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 23c | 121.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 12c | 121.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 58c | 80.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 59c | 80.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 58c | 79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 73.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 70.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 34c | 59.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 58c | 56.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 39c | 50.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 39c | 50.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 72c | 49.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Yes | 41c | 48.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 44c | 34.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 62c | 30.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Yes | 53c | 24.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 79c | 20.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.