Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc2a0031980a493fbf1a2618d1106d132bd5e4a3f9c447247cd1c4d36ca0ce01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb2b…1921backed Yes | 59c | 6,268$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.85 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 2c | 5,400$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 40c | 2,384$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,366$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed Yes | 4c | 1,768$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,745$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 45c | 1,650$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked No | 43c | 1,091$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.46 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…10a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…a324backed Yes | 7c | 1,001$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3b…6b17backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 66c | 947.74$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.87 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 911.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked Yes | 1c | 880.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes | 22c | 799.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…034cbacked Yes | 27c | 747.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 62c | 648.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…669dbacked Yes | 6c | 600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 3c | 589.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Yes | 9c | 516.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 26c | 460.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…4d82backed Yes | 9c | 444.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 25c | 438.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 12c | 433.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 425$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked No | 78c | 423.2$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 32c | 415.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…8761backed Yes | 18c | 404.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 23c | 337.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 47c | 328$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 316.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 57c | 307.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…59abbacked No | 78c | 307.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed Yes | 7c | 295.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…7e63backed No | 79c | 280$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 79c | 269.32$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…9b1fbacked Yes | 39c | 253.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…9cd4backed Yes | 8c | 252.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 70c | 241.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 241.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 9c | 237.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed Yes | 43c | 232.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 77c | 223.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 39c | 221.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed Yes | 5c | 206.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e38…a018backed No | 78c | 192.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed Yes | 28c | 179.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 15c | 170.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…376dbacked No | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 18c | 159.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 50c | 149.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…9a27backed Yes | 16c | 147.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 28c | 146.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 79c | 132.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…3b6fbacked No | 76c | 128.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…8482backed Yes | 28c | 125.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…9d5cbacked Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 59c | 107.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…9e88backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…0528backed No | 79c | 86.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 85.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 20c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…72fabacked Yes | 25c | 78.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…db37backed No | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 53c | 73.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…be7dbacked Yes | 28c | 72.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 71.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…32f2backed Yes | 17c | 63.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 61c | 62.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed No | 62c | 57.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1b…d803backed Yes | 45c | 55.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…a949backed No | 58c | 51.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +10.1wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf309…84d6backed Yes | 23c | 51.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…e05cbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 67c | 38.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5fd6backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…4479backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 39c | 25.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…ef57backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…204cbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?this page
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?Yes won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.