Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7d5f90b6d9912061f149944bf98426e8b58f433604f82eab0cce1bdca06d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd04a…39a9backed Yes | 2c | 43,970$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 62c | 6,521$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 15c | 3,665$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.1 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1921backed Yes | 51c | 2,620$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 2,154$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d07bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,047$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a89…30f5backed Yes | 73c | 1,970$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…b14dbacked No | 70c | 1,801$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 69c | 1,718$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.66 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 63c | 1,701$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 26c | 1,591$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,290$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 1,136$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…edebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,079$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 13c | 984.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…9b1fbacked Yes | 13c | 833.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 27c | 789.73$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 23c | 749.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 18c | 689.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 71c | 624.83$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 7c | 590.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…0287backed Yes | 3c | 573.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 8c | 566.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 547.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 39c | 540.78$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.37 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 521.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…ed04backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 55c | 488.88$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.83 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 49c | 484.58$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…3c39backed Yes | 34c | 476.46$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 23c | 473.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 8c | 451.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked No | 39c | 431.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.95 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…59abbacked No | 78c | 408.78$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 7c | 364.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…5792backed Yes | 14c | 350$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 335.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…a72fbacked Yes | 29c | 331.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 331.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed No | 47c | 318.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 9c | 314.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 9c | 314.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…cb80backed No | 78c | 290$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 29c | 266.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…1161backed Yes | 15c | 220.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…53a0backed Yes | 16c | 179.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed No | 80c | 178.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 176.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 24c | 176.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…e9a4backed No | 57c | 175.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 21c | 169.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed Yes | 12c | 162.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 22c | 157.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 76c | 156.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 30c | 155.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 20c | 148.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…8761backed Yes | 36c | 139.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 25c | 136.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…9073backed Yes | 14c | 134.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…9d5cbacked Yes | 50c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed Yes | 33c | 119.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed No | 78c | 117.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…667abacked Yes | 11c | 107.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 68c | 106.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 104.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 76c | 104.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…b5a2backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 61c | 99.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 15c | 96.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Yes | 26c | 87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…aa43backed Yes | 18c | 78.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed Yes | 18c | 75.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…b248backed No | 14c | 73.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +638.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…f842backed No | 77c | 71.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…a9fcbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…7cf3backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…c539backed No | 79c | 56.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d42…4f02backed Yes | 39c | 54.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…8e39backed Yes | 65c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 23c | 45.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 26c | 44.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 79c | 43.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…1fbfbacked No | 52c | 43.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…d89abacked Yes | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…ef57backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 34c | 38.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…318bbacked No | 76c | 35.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Yes | 40c | 30.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed No | 63c | 28.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +175%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked No | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…bb92backed No | 76c | 26.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502d…9cd5backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?this page
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?Yes won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?No won
- Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.